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Posts Tagged ‘AFC North’

Mark Clayton Finally has Value

Wednesday, July 15th, 2009

When we recently wrote our piece about the best No. 2 receivers in the NFL for the upcoming fantasy season, you may have noticed there was no mention of Baltimore’s Mark Clayton. And there was quite a good reason for that. Namely, he didn’t belong there, and hasn’t for the past couple seasons.

In 2007, everyone who played fantasy football had Clayton, a former first-round pick out of Oklahoma, as the player who would bust out. He was coming into his third season in the league, so his projected ascendance was partly due to the “third-year receiver” phenomenon (which is a myth). But more than anything, it had to do with his great sophomore campaign, which saw him collect 67 passes for 939 yards and five touchdowns; a promising line for any young receiver. So how did Clayton reward his fantasy owners during the ‘07 season? By stinking worse than the feet of a construction worker who was toiling in 100 degree weather for eight hours. Clayton only caught 48 passes for fewer than 531 yards and didn’t score one receiving touchdown.

That didn’t make him the most popular player in the world last season for fantasy owners, and it was a good thing, as he failed to rebound by catching a career-low 41 passes, though he did collect 695 yards and three touchdowns. He also was not targeted abundantly, as made clear by the accompanying graph. But now that Derrick Mason has (supposedly) retired, those numbers will go up. Not because of anything special that Clayton did in the offseason, but because, well, there isn’t anyone else. He and Demetrius Williams will need to step it up to replace the ever-consistent production that Mason gave year in and year out.

Baltimore will still be a running team next season just as they were in 2008 when they ran the ball 592 times - the most in the NFL. But they will have to throw the ball at some point, and unless they make a trade, the main target will be Clayton. So his fantasy value, finally, has returned to him. All it took was the retirement of a better player.

Breakout Players: AFC North

Wednesday, July 1st, 2009

Our tour among divisions to help fantasy owners in the ever-important process of seeking breakout players takes us to the always tough AFC North, a division that is home to the world champion Steelers. And given the reputation of this division, it should come as no surprise that three of the teams’ possible breakout candidates are running backs.

Baltimore Ravens - Ray Rice: Last season, Rice touched the ball 140 times, with 107 carries and 33 receptions. With those touches, he crossed the goal-line exactly zero times. So excuse fantasy owners if they’re not entirely convinced the second-year running back out of Rutgers has a big campaign in store for 2009. And while it’s true Le’Ron McClain will still get his share of carries near the end zone, Rice has surpassed Willis McGahee on the depth chart in the offseason, and will get his opportunities to punch the ball in. McGahee had surgery in the offseason on both his knee and ankle, and is apparently not highly thought of by the team’s current coaching staff. Any way you look at it, the facts are these - at this point in their respective careers, Rice is healthier and more explosive than McGahee, and fantasy owners should keep that in mind on draft day.

Cincinnati Bengals - Cedric Benson: How can a five-year veteran running back who was a top-five overall pick be eligible for a breakout year? If that pick has never ran for even 750 yards in a season, that’s how. Benson was an enormous bust in Chicago (a pain which his fantasy owners also felt), but after signing with Cincinnati last season, he ran for over 700 yards in 12 games (see graph). His yards-per-carry average last season was a measly 3.5, and for his career it is 3.7, but this is about opportunity, and Benson has plenty of it. There is no other back on the roster that figures to take carries away from Benson, so even if his lousy per-carry average continues, he’ll still get the rock. And as long as he gets the ball, he’ll get his yards and (at least a few) touchdowns. Expect him to break that 1,000-yard barrier this season for the first time in his career.

Cleveland Browns - Martin Rucker: This is officially our “going out on a limb” selection. With the departure of Kellen Winslow, the Browns have an opening at tight end for a playmaker, which is where second-year pro Rucker comes in. After a career at Missouri that saw him catch 200 passes, Cleveland snagged him in the fourth round last season. Yet he battled injuries and made a minimal impact, with only two catches on the year. Now, he’ll battle veterans Robert Royal and Steve Heiden for time at the position. Solid players both, but neither is so good that they can keep a burgeoning young talent off the field. Rucker’s not an elite blocker, which will keep him off the field in some situations, but he can catch anything thrown his way, and with so few playmakers on offense, the Browns would be foolish not to utilize him.

Pittsburgh Steelers - Rashard Mendenhall: After being out on that limb, we decided it was a good idea to go ahead and turn around for safety. That leads us to running back Mendenhall, a first-round pick last season of the Steelers who injured his shoulder in Week 4 against Baltimore and did not play another down the rest of the season. Mendenhall will split time and carries with Willie Parker, and should be in often on passing downs. Parker is not particularly adept in the passing game, having caught just three passes for 13 yards all season, whereas Mendenhall caught two passes but still gained four more yards than Parker. Look for Mendenhall to cut heavily into Mewelde Moore’s playing time as well, stealing some of the 40 catches Moore accumulated last year. Parker will turn 29 during the year, and has seen his yards-per-carry average drop by at least .3 in every season of his career. Mendenhall is certainly the future in Pittsburgh, and may be the present as well.

Bust-Worthy Players

Friday, June 19th, 2009

One of the ways fantasy owners stave off futility while welcoming the glory of victory is by steering clear of the most frightening word that starts with the letter “B” in the English language: bust. Just looking at the word, in all its unholy incandescence, is enough to send fantasy owners over the edge. So let’s take a look at some players who are undoubtedly going to be popular picks this fantasy season that may wind up as, well, let’s just call it the “B” word.

Brian Westbrook, RB, Philadelphia Eagles: The easiest to predict, Westbrook has been giving fantasy owners fits for years. He’s never played a full 16-game season, and though he’s played in 15 games in four separate years, he always seems to be on the injury list with some type of malady. Westbrook will turn 30 this season, the age that running backs frequently turn into ghosts of their former selves, and he’s already had surgery before the 2009 campaign even got underway. Add to it that the Eagles selected LeSean McCoy in the second round of the draft, and you are looking at someone in Westbrook who will likely not get the amount of touches he’s seen in the past.

Kurt Warner, QB, Arizona Cardinals: Out of 11 years in the NFL, Kurt Warner has played in 16 games just three times, and did it last year for the first time since 2001. The fact is he’s taken a beating over his career, and he’ll be 38 when the season begins. His last two seasons in Arizona have been magnificent, but there are other factors, besides the injuries, to consider. He lost his offensive coordinator in Todd Haley, and because the team selected Chris Wells in the first round, they should finally have something resembling a running game, so Warner won’t have to throw it as often as he did last season. He could very well have another productive year and stay completely healthy, but expecting the kind of numbers he put up a year ago is foolhardy.

Donald Driver, WR, Green Bay Packers: As the Packers have accumulated more young receiving talent over the past few years, the 34-year-old Driver’s numbers have waned. His reception total has gone from 92 to 82 to 74 since 2006, and his receiving yards have dropped from 1,295 to 1,048 to 1,012 in the same time period. The reason behind the fall is not necessarily that Driver’s talent is ebbing, but more like the Packers have gone to a new quarterback and have wideouts like Greg Jennings who keep getting better. Another drop in numbers is in the works for Driver, who may see his first sub-1,000 yard season since 2003.

Willie Parker, RB, Pittsburgh Steelers: Like the aforementioned Driver, Parker’s numbers have fallen in each of the past three seasons as well. He accumulated nearly 1,500 rushing yards in 2006 to nearly 800 last season. His yards per carry average also has atrophied, from 4.4 to 4.1 to 3.8 from 2006-2008. One of the reasons, of course, is health. That 2006 season was the only one in which Parker has played 16 games. He also showed signs of wearing down a bit last season despite playing in just 11 games. The graph to the right shows his rushing yards per week, and only a Week 17 performance against Cleveland saved him from having no 100-yard games in the final six weeks of the year. With Rashard Mendenhall, the team’s first-round pick in 2008, back and healthy, look for him to get plenty of carries, and possibly steal the load from Parker down the stretch.

Brandon Marshall to Fly as a Raven?

Wednesday, June 17th, 2009

There are numerous possibilities for a duo to become the best young wide receiver/quarterback tandem over the next five or so years. Matt Ryan and Roddy White in Atlanta, Aaron Rodgers and Greg Jennings in Green Bay, Matt Cassel and Dwayne Bowe in Kansas City, Philip Rivers and Vincent Jackson in San Diego; hell, even Detroit’s Matthew Stafford and Calvin Johnson have a shot. But two names you haven’t heard together are Joe Flacco and Brandon Marshall. And that’s because, well, they’re not on the same team. But there’s a possibility they could be.

Marshall has requested a trade out of Denver, and according to a report in the Baltimore Sun, the Ravens are interested. The team from Charm City has long been in need of a playmaking wideout. They tried their hand in the draft and selected Mark Clayton in the first round in 2005, but that hasn’t worked out as they’d hoped.

Compare the numbers Marshall has put up to those of RaveRavens Catchesns receivers, and the difference is palpable. The graph on the right displays the touchdown catches for every Baltimore player over the last five seasons. Tight end Todd Heap leads the way with 20, but just four of those have come in the last two seasons. The ever-steady Derrick Mason has 16, and the aforementioned Clayton is next with 10. Marshall, on the other hand, has only been a full-time starter for two of his three seasons in the league, and has caught 15 touchdowns in that time.

And just twice over the past five years has a Ravens player - in this case Mason - caught over 80 passes in a season. Marshall has snagged over 100 passes in each of the last two years. True, the Broncos and Ravens run offenses that are not similar, but part of the reason for that is Baltimore hasn’t had the personnel to be a team that can rely on throwing the ball. With Marshall joining the laser-armed Flacco and a veteran like Mason, that could change.

Though it may seem otherwise, if Marshall did wind up in Baltimore, his fantasy stock would not regress. He may not catch 100 passes, but he’d get close, and the familiar 1,200+ yards would be there, as would the seven or so touchdowns. The players whose fantasy stock would drop with Marshall’s arrival are Mason and Clayton. Mason would be the one whose numbers suffered the most, as he would go from unquestioned No. 1 wideout to the No. 2 man immediately. He’d still retain enough value for fantasy owners to draft him, but he’d be more like a WR3 than anything else. Marshall, however, will be a WR1 whether he plays in Denver, Baltimore or Babushkin (assuming there is a football team in that part of Russia).

Broncos owner Pat Bowlen said the team would try and accommodate Marshall’s wishes and move him, and Baltimore would be as good a landing spot as any, and offer a new team of candidates to become the NFL’s best throw-and-catch duo.

Looking at Rookie Tight Ends

Monday, June 15th, 2009

The tight end position can be overlooked by fantasy owners from time to time and understandably so. Unlike the wide receiver and running back positions, most leagues just play one tight end, and they don’t put up quite the numbers those positions do either. In fact, of the top-40 players in catches last season, just six were tight ends, and of the top-40 players in receiving yards, just five were tight ends. However, there is one caveat: touchdowns. There were eight tight ends among the top-30 players in that category last season, making them a novel resource for fantasy owners who play in touchdown-heavy leagues. So let’s examine some rookies who may be able to contribute for fantasy owners this season.

Brandon Pettigrew, Detroit Lions (First Round): The first tight end selected in the draft, Pettigrew should step right into the Lions’ lineup as a starter. The OklahLions Catchesoma State product is known more for his prowess as a blocker than as a pass catcher, but as you can see in the graph to the right, the Lions need to find someone other than Calvin Johnson to throw to. Pettigrew possesses soft hands and his 6-foot-5 frame makes him a fitting target in the end zone. Fantasy owners shouldn’t expect huge overall numbers out of Pettigrew, but they should expect to see him take some trips into the end zone.

Chase Coffman, Cincinnati Bengals (Third Round): No tight end in college football history amassed more receptions (247) than Coffman did during his time at Missouri. Included in those 247 catches were 20 touchdowns, so Coffman clearly has a nose for the end zone. While not a Herculean specimen in terms of measureables, few tight ends in this draft class can match the pliability of Coffman’s hands. Though there are a number of tight ends on Cincinnati’s roster, none have proven to be as adept as a receiver as Coffman can be. He isn’t a proven blocker, so he won’t be an every-down player, but near the goal line, expect Carson Palmer to look his way.

Shawn Nelson, Buffalo Bills (Fourth Round): Like the Bengals, the Bills have a number of tight ends on the roster, but none that can match Nelson’s athletic ability. He has good speed for a tight end, and his hands are equally proficient. Coming out of Southern Miss, Nelson’s handicap is similar to Coffman’s in that he does not have the blocking ability to play every down, but he won’t need to in order to be effective. With Terrell Owens likely getting double-teamed inside the red zone, Nelson should be able to exploit defensive coverages with enough consistency to be on the receiving end of a number of Trent Edwards touchdown throws.

Cornelius Ingram, Philadelphia Eagles (Fifth Round): Only a torn ACL suffered before the 2008 season caused Ingram to drop to the fifth round. The Florida product will have as much opportunity as any rookie at the position because he should be the second tight end behind Brent Celek in Philly. Ingram has the ability to make big plays with his athletic ability, and he is a perfect fit in Andy Reid’s West Coast offense. The Eagles have too many other offensive options for fantasy owners to rely consistently on Ingram to find his way into the end zone, but he’ll still get his share of yards and catches.

Looking at Rookie Wideouts

Friday, June 12th, 2009

As we did in our piece about rookie running backs, we’re going to spend some time looking at some players, in this case wide receivers, who were taken out side of the first round who could have a fantasy impact. Last season, there were no receivers taken in the draft’s opening round, yet players such as Donnie Avery and DeSean Jackson still contributed for fantasy owners. Let’s take a gander at who may do the same this season.Cleveland Browns receptions

Brian Robiskie, Cleveland Browns (Second Round): The first receiver picked after the opening round, Robiskie has a golden opportunity to shine in Cleveland. As you can see in the graph to the right, Braylon Edwards led the Browns in receptions, but after that came Kellen Winslow, who is now with Tampa, and no other player even reached 30. Robiskie, an Ohio State product, is generally considered one of, if not the, most polished rookie receiver, so his learning curve could be small, and his chances to contribute out of the gate are solid.

Ramses Barden, New York Giants (Third Round): While it’s true Barden is raw and has a gaggle of other wideouts to compete with in New York, including first-round pick Hakeem Nicks, his value lies in what he may be able to do in the red zone. At a legit 6-foot-6, Barden towers over other cornerbacks, and is exactly the type of player who makes for a nightmare matchup near the goal-line. A simple fade pass to the corner will be next to impossible for most defensive backs to stop, and even if Barden does not reel in a significant amount of receptions, he should get his share of opportunities to put up six points.

Austin Collie, Indianapolis Colts (Fourth Round): The Colts are undergoing a transformation at the receiver position, and Collie, a BYU product, will be a part of that. Though not the biggest or fastest of players, Collie does possess sticky hands, and has produced at a high level while in college. His 106 catches last season were third in the country, his 15 touchdowns were fourth, and the 1,538 receiving yards he amassed led all receivers. He’ll have an opportunity this season to be the third wideout for Peyton Manning, who we all know doesn’t discriminate - if you’re open, he’ll throw you the ball. Which is good news for Collie’s potential fantasy owners.

Jarrett Dillard, Jacksonville Jaguars (Fifth Round): Speaking of production, let me introduce you to Dillard, who manufactured more than his share of catches and yards while at Rice. For three straight years he amassed at least 1,000 receiving yards, and twice he scored at least 20 touchdowns. He had 60 touchdowns in his career, including 20 last season to lead the nation. With the lack of proven talent the Jags currently have deployed out wide, Dillard has a good opportunity to break through and make something happen during his rookie season.

Looking At Rookie Runners

Monday, June 8th, 2009

There were 23 running backs selected in the NFL draft, but most fantasy owners are concentrating on the three who were chosen in the first round - Knowshon Moreno, Donald Brown and Chris Wells. Obviously, it’s justified to focus on those players as they will undoubtedly be thrust into action swiftly. But history says that there will be running backs outside of the top picks that will have an impact on fantasy owners. Last year, it was Steve Slaton, who was selected in the third round. In 2007, Selvin Young, who went undrafted, ran for over 700 yards with Denver. Maurice Jones-Drew was a second-round pick in 2006. In 2005, Frank Gore and Marion Barber made impacts as third- and fourth-round selections, respectively. So who will it be this season? Let’s take a look.

LeSean McCoy, Philadelphia Eagles (Second Round): He’s the most obvious answer, and for good reason. The Eagles selected him in the second round knowing that star Brian Westbrook will soon be 30, and has an injury history - including recent ankle surgery - that reads longer than Homer’s Odyssey. McCoy has a skill set that compares favorably to Westbrook, so the Eagles would likely not have to adjust their offense when the former Pitt star is in the backfield. The fact that he is a good receiver is a bonus for fantasy owners, especially those in PPR leagues.Thomas Jones' rushing yards per game

Shonn Greene, New York Jets (Third Round): Thomas Jones had a fantastic overall season for the Jets last year, but possibly started wearing down near the end. Jones ran for fewer than 80 yards in each of New York’s final four games, failed to average 4.0 yards per carry in any of the team’s final three tilts, and over their final two contests, didn’t have a run for more than eight yards. Enter Greene, the top pick of the third round. He’ll spell Jones, and should see a healthy number of carries, as Leon Washington will likely be used as a third-down back rather than Jones’ immediate backup. Greene is not efficient in the passing game, which hurts his value somewhat, but his physical style makes him a fit for goal-line carries.

Andre Brown, New York Giants (Fourth Round): With Derrick Ward off to Tampa, there is a gap in the trio that consisted of he, Brandon Jacobs and Ahmad Bradshaw that was so cleverly named “Earth, Wind and Fire.” Brown doesn’t fit well into any of those categories; he’s the type who can do a little bit of everything. Though Bradshaw is expected to be the No. 2 back behind Jacobs, don’t be surprised if the Giants work Brown in the same way they did with Bradshaw last season in a three-back rotation.

James Davis, Cleveland Browns (Sixth Round): There’s a good reason that no current Cleveland back promotes excitement in the minds of fantasy owners. Jamal Lewis remains somewhat productive, but he’s seen a lot of carries over the years and last season, despite running for just over 1,000 yards, failed to amass a single 100-yard rushing game and averaged just 3.6 yards per carry. Davis very easily could have been a higher selection if not for a senior season at Clemson that was disastrous for everyone involved. Nonetheless, he ended his career as a Tiger with nearly 4,000 rushing yards and 49 total touchdowns. At the very least, he should challenge incumbent Jerome Harrison for the backup job.

Fantasy Value: AFC North Quarterbacks

Wednesday, May 27th, 2009

In the next installment of our look at the fantasy value of each NFL division’s quarterbacks, we’re diving into the AFC North. Like its counterpart in the NFC, the AFC’s northern district has not traditionally been one that fantasy owners can count on for quality.

Baltimore Ravens: In his rookie campaign of 2008, Joe Flacco threw for over 2,900 yards and 14 touchdowns to go with 12 interceptions. Solid enough, but those numbers really didn’t justify the surfeit of acclaim given to him by media types. Fact is, fantasy owners knew better. Flacco’s prestige was greatly buoyed by an unyielding Ravens defense and equally relentless ground attack. Flacco will likely improve on his numbers this season, but the Ravens will remain what they have been for years - a team built to shut down opposing offenses and run through opposing defenses. Flacco may one day be a fantasy stalwart, but that day won’t come during the 2009 season, making him draftable, but as a QB2.

Cincinnati Bengals: Carson Palmer’s injury last season left many fantasy owners high and dry (including yours truly). Intermittent reports throughout the season of Palmer possibly being able to play left enough hope on the table to keep everyone as frustrated as GM bondholders are now. He didn’t return, and inevitably, his streak of three consecutive seasons with at least 26 touchdown passes ended, while Cincinnati’s season quickly deteriorated. The former USC signal-caller is back and healthy this year, albeit without pass-catcher extraordinaire T.J. Houshmandzadeh. The team replaced him with Laveranues Coles, and though Chad Ochocinco remains, whether or not he’s still a top-shelf talent remains to be seen.  That said, there’s no reason for Palmer not to perform like the quarterback we all grew familiar with, and he should easily be a QB1. He could be a very good value in fantasy drafts, with owners likely downgrading him due to last season’s injury and Houshmandzadeh’s exit.

Cleveland Browns: Choosing between Brady Quinn  and Derek Anderson is like deciding if you want die by the electric chair or by stoning - you know it’s going to end badly, the only question is how painful do you want it to be? Okay, so that may be a slight exaggeration, but the point remains, neither is a good choice for fantasy owners. Quinn was not very impressive in his three-game stint as a starter last season, playing well only against a poor Broncos pass defense. Anderson was no better, as he completed a horrendous 50.2 percent of his passes in his 10 games. These are the facts fantasy owners need to know if they are deciding whether or not they want to take either Quinn or Anderson as their QB2: the Browns’ running game will feature a 30-year-old veteran who did not have a single 100-yard rushing game last season, the team’s best receiver led the league in dropped passes , their No. 2 receiver may not play this year because he allegedly killed a man while driving drunk, and they traded one of the best pass-catching tight ends in the league in the offseason. So take one of these two if you like, but the smart thing to do would be look in another direction.

Pittsburgh Steelers: I realize that by saying this, ESPN’s headquarters might spontaneously combust, but here goes - Ben Roethlisberger is a good quarterback; Ben Roethlisberger is not a great quarterback. Two Super Bowls, yes. But it sure is nice to have the best defense in the league to back you up. Big Ben has had one prodigious season, in 2007, when he threw for 32 touchdowns. In his other four campaigns, he’s thrown for 17 scores three times and 18 scores once. So was the ‘07 season an aberration? Maybe. That year was sandwiched between two other seasons in which he combined to throw 35 touchdowns and 38 interceptions while completing less than 60 percent of his passes. It’s certainly not out of the question for Roethlisberger to go on and throw 25 touchdowns each of the next four seasons, but I wouldn’t count on it. Though he’s in the bottom tier of QB1 status for 2009, his inconsistency makes him untrustworthy in the eyes of some. Big Ben may have another excellent statistical year, but I’ll let someone else take that gamble.

Fantasy Impact: Late-Round Picks

Wednesday, April 29th, 2009

By now, fantasy owners are all aware that high draft picks like Chris Wells and Michael Crabtree will have an impact on their leagues in the 2009 season. But what about some of the lesser-known players, guys that were drafted in later rounds that could also have an impact? Let’s take a look at some players selected in the fourth round on that fantasy owners should at least keep in mind.

- Shawn Nelson, TE, Buffalo Bills: Drafted with the 21st pick in the fourth round, the Bills got themselves an athletic tight end with the ability to stretch the field. The former Southern Mississippi player could become a valuable target for quarterback Trent Edwards, though he may struggle to see the field early because he needs to improve on his blocking. Of course, there’s also one Terrell Owens to worry about, as he’ll undoubtedly demand the ball, and Buffalo also has an adept second wideout in Lee Evans. That said, Nelson is a talented pass-catcher with no one standing in his way on the Buffalo depth chart, which makes him a sleeper for fantasy owners.

- Austin Collie, WR, Indianapolis Colts: Selected just after Nelson with the 27th pick in the fourth round, Collie finds himself in a great situation with Indianapolis. The former BYU wideout did nothing but produce during his college career, and he has a real opportunity to earn playing time behind Reggie Wayne and Anthony Gonzalez. Collie isn’t the speediest player, but he has good hands and will catch everything thrown his way. There’s enough offense to go around in Indy that Collie may see his share receptions on the other end of Peyton Manning’s passes.

- Cornelius Ingram, TE, Philadelphia Eagles: The Eagles’ fifth-round pick, Ingram is now with a team that has a plethora of other pass-catching options, but not at the tight end position, as they let L.J. Smith go. Brent Celek will likely be the No. 1 tight end, and Matt Schobel is there, but he shouldn’t stand in the more talented Ingram’s way.

- James Davis, RB, Cleveland Browns: A sixth-round pick of the Browns, Davis could not have found himself in a better situation. Though there are a multitude of backs on Cleveland’s roster at the moment, none are so talented that they will push Davis aside. With a strong training camp, it’s possible Davis could start the year as a backup, and after that, who knows what could happen. The Browns will take offense anywhere they can get it, and Davis may be that source as the year progresses.

Fantasy Football Love/Hate: Baltimore at Houston

Friday, November 7th, 2008

The Lowdown

Two players - Joe Flacco and Steve Slaton - will continue making their cases for rookie of the year in this game, a crucial one for the Ravens, who hope to make a run to the postseason, and the Texans, who are trying to stay afloat in the AFC South. Baltimore’s solid defense has some cracks in it with the absence of Chris McAllister and the questionable statuses of Bart Scott and Samari Rolle, but Houston’s defense should offer some opportunities to Flacco and Co.

Love ‘em

Joe Flacco - BAL - QB - Flacco is looking better every week from every perspective. Last week he passed for 248 yards and threw 2 touchdown passes, extending his touchdown streak to three games. Houston’s pass defense is suspect, too, so things bode especially well for the rookie quarterback this week.

Andre Johnson - HOU - WR - Johnson had 41 receptions for 593 yards between weeks 5-8, before his streak of 9+ reception games was snapped at Cleveland. He did catch his third touchdown of the season in that game, however, and remains one of the league’s biggest threats at wide receiver.

Derrick Mason - BAL - WR - Mason had just 1 catch for 3 yards against the Raiders week 8, but has otherwise been solid for much of the season. He caught 9 passes for 136 yards and 1 touchdown last week in his fourth 6+ reception game of the season. Houston has struggled at time to stop the pass this season and Mason is labeled a “start” this week.

Hate ‘em

Steve Slaton - HOU - RB - Slaton has looked very good the last three weeks of the season, but there’s reason to suspect he stumbles against the Ravens, who have the NFL’s best run defense. Slaton’s yard per carry average has dipped below 4.0 in three of his past four starts and there’s a very good chance he doesn’t find the endzone Sunday.

Le’Ron McClain and Willis McGahee - BAL - RBs -McClain and McGahee have relatively comparable numbers - not that that’s a compliment - this season with a lot of inconsistency thrown into the mix. Both will have a hard time breaking 70 yards this week, though McClain is the best bet to score a touchdown. Still, I’d steer clear.